blank'/> THE PUCK REPORT: 2013 NHL Playoff Projections - 82 Games Played

Tuesday, April 30, 2013

2013 NHL Playoff Projections - 82 Games Played

When it comes to the NHL playoffs, a general rule of thumb is to expect the unexpected. While division winners typically hoist the Stanley Cup, top-seeded teams are no stranger to first round playoff upsets.

Acknowledging that the best predictor of future behavior is typically past performance, the chart below tracks teams over the second half of the 2013 NHL regular season examining their records over the final 10 and 20 games to measure where momentum lies heading into the postseason.

Team Performance Heading Into 2013 NHL Playoffs

Final10 GP20 GP

1. PIT36728161632

2. MTL2963481021

3. WAS27578171532

4. BOS286238921

5. TOR26575111126

6. NYR26567141226

7. OTT25566121122

8. NYI24556151126


Final10 GP20 GP

1. CHI36777151328

2. ANA3066511920

3. VAN26595111327

4. STL29607141326

5. LAK27595121125

6. SJS25575101327

7. DET24565131125

8. MIN2655491021

ChicagoVancouverSan Jose and St. Louis bested the West amassing 13 wins each during the final 20 games, with Chicago and St. Louis finishing strongest over the final 10 games with seven wins a piece.  Minnesota endured the poorest finish of any playoff bound team in the conference trailing its peers for both the final 20 and 10 game stretches.

In the East, Pittsburgh and Washington led all others over the final 20 and 10 game measures with the Penguins earning an extra win and the Capitals picking up an extra point.  Boston and Montreal trailed their playoff conference peers at each interval, registering the same number of points but with the Canadiens besting the Bruins by two wins.

In terms of streaksDetroit finished with four straight wins while Montreal and the New York Rangers won their final two, leading their respective conferences in the category. The New York Islanders dropped their last three games owning the coldest finish, though three others (Boston, San Jose, Vancouver) lost their last two.

In short, Washington, Pittsburgh, Chicago, St. Louis and Detroit are hot heading into the playoffs while Montreal, Boston and Minnesota are not. Of course, none of these statistical measures matter when puck drops tonight. It's a new dawn. It's a new day. It's a new life.

Let the second season begin. The real season. 16W.